Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 22.04 | $0.136 | $18.82 | +$15.82 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.754 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.31 |
| $0.970 |
| $10.26 |
| +$0.26 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10.66 | $0.938 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | No | 10.64 | $0.470 | $7.07 | +$2.07 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 6.18 | $0.971 | $6.06 | +$0.06 |
 Deel IPO before 2027? | No | 5.88 | $0.510 | $5.62 | +$2.62 |
 Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.440 | $4.14 | +$2.14 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.65 | $0.430 | $3.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.44 | $0.582 | $3.21 | +$1.21 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 3.23 | $0.620 | $3.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1.75 | +$0.75 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 9.52 | $0.210 | $1.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 8.47 | $0.590 | $0.76 | -$4.24 |
 Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | Yes | 6.12 | $0.653 | $0.67 | -$3.33 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.210 | $0.55 | -$2.45 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.64 | $0.379 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.112 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 1.27 |
| $0.790 |
| $1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.417 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.938 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes | buy | 90.63 | $0.011 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes | buy | 23.11 | $0.043 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETDown | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETDown | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.088 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | sell | 16.66 | $0.073 | $1.22 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | May 23, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.525 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.379 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.582 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.060 | $0.22 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.750 | $0.98 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | buy | 63.75 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | buy | 73.39 | $0.014 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.667 | $3 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 44.24 | $0.020 | $0.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.400 | $0.91 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.52 | $0.360 | $0.91 | Apr 25, 2026 |