Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Nov 21, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 41.67 |
| $0.024 |
| $1 |
| Nov 21, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.377 | $13.01 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.995 | $5.52 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Megaquake in November?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Mail-in" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.269 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.744 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.102 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Solana above $200 on November 15?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Solana all time high in Q4?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.391 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump transgender sports ban?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies Diddy list?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.67 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |