Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.930 | $27.84 | -$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 50.44 |
| $0.562 |
| $26.99 |
| -$1.36 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.890 | $23.26 | -$3.45 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 30 | $0.759 | $22.7 | -$0.08 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 30.01 | $0.720 | $20.25 | -$1.35 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 30 | $0.650 | $18.75 | -$0.75 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 128.81 | $0.132 | $13.53 | -$3.47 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 98.42 | $0.159 | $12.79 | -$2.82 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 158 | $0.117 | $11.85 | -$6.71 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | No | 71.94 | $0.144 | $10.43 | +$0.09 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 100.16 | $0.081 | $7.51 | -$0.6 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.230 | $6.75 | -$0.15 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 30 | $0.140 | $3.75 | -$0.45 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.75 | $0.260 | $3.56 | -$1.31 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | No | 60 | $0.180 | $3.3 | -$7.5 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 28.81 | $0.090 | $2.16 | -$0.43 |
 Will BP be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 10.39 | $0.034 | $0.31 | -$0.05 |
| sell |
| 6.18 |
| $0.968 |
| $5.98 |
| 10h ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.356 | $21.36 | 16h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.069 | $0.69 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.100 | $6 | 1d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.720 | $3.74 | 1d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.02 | $0.090 | $0.36 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.43 | $0.890 | $15.51 | 3d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | 5d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | 6d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.750 | $3.65 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | 6d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.230 | $0.69 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.240 | $0.53 | 7d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | 7d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 30 | $0.601 | $18.03 | 7d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | 8d ago |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | 8d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | 8d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10.21 | $0.700 | $7.15 | 8d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | 9d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.760 | $20 | 10d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | 10d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 10d ago |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.190 | $3.33 | 11d ago |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.27 | $0.070 | $0.3 | 11d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.300 | $18.75 | 11d ago |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.46 | $0.036 | $0.16 | 11d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 78.17 | $0.180 | $14.07 | 11d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.670 | $10.47 | 11d ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 2.6 | $0.507 | $1.32 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 104.7 | $0.110 | $11.52 | 12d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.69 | $0.200 | $3.54 | 12d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 15.3 | $0.660 | $10.1 | 13d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.930 | $19.78 | 13d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 15 | $0.660 | $9.9 | 13d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 39.21 | $0.510 | $20 | 13d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.850 | $19.76 | 13d ago |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.966 | $0.99 | 13d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.860 | $20 | 13d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 27.39 | $0.720 | $19.72 | 13d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.07 | $0.257 | $19.02 | 13d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.860 | $20 | 13d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 66.13 | $0.259 | $17.15 | 13d ago |