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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 5.11 | $0.950 | $4.82 | -$0.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.930 | $4.75 | 15d ago |
| No |
| 5.11 |
| $0.930 |
| $4.78 |
| +$0.03 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 9.04 | $0.240 | $2.62 | +$0.45 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 8.21 | $0.190 | $1.6 | +$0.04 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.480 | $1.38 | -$1.03 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 8.56 | $0.270 | $1.37 | -$0.94 |
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 6.96 | $0.224 | $1.04 | -$0.52 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 106.36 | $0.011 | $1.01 | -$0.16 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.5 | $0.120 | $0.43 | -$0.71 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.818 | $0.11 | +$0 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | Yes | 9 | $0.140 | $0 | -$1.26 |
| buy |
| 18.06 |
| $0.159 |
| $2.88 |
| 17d ago |
| Will Venezia FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? AND Will Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-23? | buy | 110.39 | $0.043 | $4.77 | 17d ago |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.825 | $4.13 | 20d ago |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 23d ago |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.818 | $4.2 | 24d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 26d ago |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.950 | $4.85 | Aug 9, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.45 | $0.080 | $0.92 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 117 | $0.007 | $0.82 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Yes | sell | 4.45 | $0.130 | $0.58 | Aug 8, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Yes | sell | 10.5 | $0.034 | $0.36 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.23 | $0.120 | $0.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.900 | $0.36 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 8.92 | $0.035 | $0.31 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 0.73 | $0.400 | $0.29 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 29.26 | $0.008 | $0.23 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.100 | $0.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.96 | $0.270 | $0.26 | Aug 8, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.880 | $0.18 | Aug 8, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.930 | $0.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.830 | $0.17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.113 | $0.08 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.9 | $0.061 | $0.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.410 | $0.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.044 | $0.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 47.82 | $0.023 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 61.11 | $0.026 | $1.59 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.930 | $1.49 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | sell | 4.6 | $0.370 | $1.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | sell | 8.56 | $0.630 | $5.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 12.02 | $0.576 | $6.92 | Aug 8, 2026 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No | sell | 10.83 | $0.810 | $8.77 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?No | sell | 8.75 | $0.340 | $2.98 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.96 | $0.860 | $9.43 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 10.83 | $0.860 | $9.31 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 15.71 | $0.910 | $14.3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | sell | 11.8 | $0.800 | $9.44 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.010 | $1.17 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.140 | $1.26 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.240 | $2.1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 106.36 | $0.011 | $1.17 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.5 | $0.120 | $1.14 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | sell | 23 | $0.330 | $7.59 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.190 | $1.56 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.141 | $1.26 | Aug 2, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.040 | $0.36 | Aug 2, 2026 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | buy | 8.56 | $0.710 | $6.08 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.795 | $6.36 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.118 | $1.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |