Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 245.55 | $0.320 | $78.62 | Mar 12, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 110 |
| $0.220 |
| $24.21 |
| Mar 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.998 | $97.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.998 | $309.38 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.390 | $23.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.230 | $13.8 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.220 | $13.2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 311.06 | $0.100 | $31.11 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.102 | $2.04 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.031 | $0.62 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.008 | $0.32 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.050 | $0.85 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.009 | $2.16 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.035 | $3.15 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.220 | $3.74 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $1.02 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.014 | $1.12 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.015 | $0.75 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.021 | $1.05 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 29.08 | $0.010 | $0.29 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?US Strikes Iran | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.035 | $1.4 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.149 | $5.96 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |