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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.368 | $147.09 | Jul 21, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 350 |
| $0.200 |
| $70 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.070 | $21 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.730 | $45.63 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 187.5 | $0.418 | $78.45 | Jun 25, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.230 | $69 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 142.56 | $0.561 | $80 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.140 | $49 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 409.53 | $0.900 | $368.58 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.369 | $110.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.340 | $43.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.420 | $75 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 330 | $0.830 | $273.9 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81.04 | May 24, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.654 | $65.43 | May 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.860 | $77.4 | May 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No | sell | 80 | $0.880 | $70.4 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.007 | $1.68 | May 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 350 | $0.974 | $340.9 | May 22, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?No | sell | 79.99 | $0.940 | $75.19 | May 22, 2026 |
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.961 | $96.1 | May 20, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.600 | $54 | May 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | May 11, 2026 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 140 | $0.270 | $37.86 | May 10, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 149.99 | $0.910 | $136.49 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.209 | $24.04 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.338 | $101.4 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | sell | 209.23 | $0.975 | $204 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 159.39 | $0.960 | $153.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | sell | 300 | $0.962 | $288.46 | Apr 25, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 350 | $0.920 | $322 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 160 | $0.260 | $41.68 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.610 | $97.6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 350 | $0.590 | $206.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.920 | $230 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 88 | $0.907 | $79.83 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | sell | 150 | $0.900 | $135 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | sell | 280 | $0.960 | $268.88 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.540 | $90 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.440 | $7.41 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 25.71 | $0.384 | $9.86 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | buy | 45 | $0.560 | $25.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | buy | 65.27 | $0.560 | $36.55 | Apr 7, 2026 |