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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 271.57K | $0.416 | $142.57K | +$29.64K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 469.27 | $0.970 | $455.19 | 13h ago |
|
| No |
| 104.55K |
| $0.444 |
| $56.98K |
| +$10.56K |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 40K | $0.500 | $30.38K | +$10.38K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40K | $0.500 | $9.62K | -$10.38K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 740.59K | $0.032 | $5.55K | -$18.11K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.05K | $0.300 | $2.15K | +$35.32 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 88.4K | $0.200 | $397.81 | -$17.28K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100K | $0.200 | $150 | -$19.85K |
| sell |
| 17.48K |
| $0.970 |
| $16.96K |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.300 | $427.25 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.520 | $5.2K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 65.89K | $0.007 | $461.26 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 689 | $0.006 | $4.13 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.3K | $0.370 | $3.81K | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 481.73 | $0.390 | $187.87 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 977.6 | $0.510 | $498.58 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.92K | $0.007 | $48.41 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.83K | $0.006 | $118.97 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.520 | $1.3K | 9d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 6.44K | $0.964 | $6.21K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 12.1K | $0.490 | $5.93K | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 5.64K | $0.934 | $5.26K | Jun 3, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.994 | $994 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 9K | $0.994 | $8.95K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100K | $0.989 | $98.9K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 159.8 | $0.005 | $0.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30K | $0.006 | $180 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40K | $0.005 | $200 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 599.98 | $0.999 | $599.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.937 | $93.69 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 52.68 | $0.991 | $52.21 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 500 | $0.984 | $492 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 72.49 | $0.991 | $71.84 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 7.42K | $0.979 | $7.26K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 4.38K | $0.978 | $4.29K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.981 | $1.95K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 17.84K | $0.979 | $17.47K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.980 | $1.22K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.980 | $1.34K | May 18, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.926 | $970.45 | May 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 3.86K | $0.924 | $3.56K | May 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 63.18K | $0.916 | $57.87K | May 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 18.97K | $0.914 | $17.34K | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 0.76 | $0.001 | $0 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.003 | $4.51 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.993 | $2.59K | May 1, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 316 | $0.981 | $310 | May 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 1.98K | $0.982 | $1.94K | May 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.983 | $1.33K | May 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.983 | $1.33K | May 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.997 | $24.93K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.997 | $9.97K | Apr 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 5.6K | $0.998 | $5.59K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 150K | $0.998 | $149.7K | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?Yes | buy | 47.33K | $0.998 | $47.23K | Apr 29, 2026 |