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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5.08 | $0.979 | $5.06 | +$0.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 3.73 | $0.940 | $3.51 | 21d ago |
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| No |
| 5.08 |
| $0.985 |
| $5.06 |
| +$0.06 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.07 | $0.890 | $4.83 | +$0.32 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 4.47 | $0.961 | $4.47 | +$0.17 |
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.25 | $0.974 | $4.23 | +$0.09 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 3.08 | $0.974 | $2.99 | -$0.01 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.47 | $0.972 | $2.47 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 3.05 |
| $0.985 |
| $3 |
| May 14, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.954 | $2.96 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.890 | $4.51 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.928 | $1.13 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in April?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.922 | $4.45 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.3 | $0.981 | $6.18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.972 | $2.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.979 | $4.97 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $110 in April?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.937 | $1.98 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.819 | $4.87 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.930 | $1.92 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.950 | $3.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?Yes | buy | 3.42 | $0.871 | $2.98 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.961 | $4.3 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.950 | $4.71 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.968 | $6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.880 | $1.41 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?Yes | buy | 4.43 | $0.900 | $3.98 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.999 | $1.5K | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.999 | $1.73K | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 21?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.997 | $1.73K | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of March?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.991 | $0.87 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 20?Yes | buy | 132.76 | $0.994 | $131.96 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of March?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.959 | $3.26 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 20?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.998 | $3K | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 16?Yes | buy | 4.31 | $0.680 | $2.93 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 18?Yes | buy | 3.51K | $0.997 | $3.5K | Mar 15, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.944 | $1.97 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.880 | $4.77 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.940 | $2.3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 0.81 | $0.880 | $0.71 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.962 | $2.97 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 4.25 | $0.974 | $4.14 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.45 | $0.965 | $4.29 | Mar 9, 2026 |
New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
French election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.930 | $4.22 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.940 | $2.02 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.690 | $3.73 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.968 | $3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 3.27 | $0.918 | $3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No | buy | 7.82 | $0.895 | $7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.850 | $4.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |