Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 24.39 |
| $0.041 |
| $1 |
| Dec 1, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.24 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.24 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.24 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.048 | $0.6 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.048 | $0.6 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.97 | $0.070 | $0.49 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.97 | $0.070 | $0.49 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.97 | $0.064 | $0.45 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.034 | $0.61 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.034 | $0.61 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.028 | $0.61 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.060 | $0.65 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.060 | $0.65 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.047 | $0.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.047 | $0.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.059 | $0.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.059 | $0.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.027 | $0.61 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.027 | $0.61 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.046 | $1.21 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.042 | $1.2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.036 | $1.2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.026 | $1.24 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.030 | $1.36 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.030 | $1.25 | Nov 26, 2025 |