Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? | No | 8.45 | $0.978 | $8.02 | -$0.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.978 | $8.26 | 11d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 9.89 |
| $0.954 |
| $9.44 |
| 11d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.948 | $9.38 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by July 31?No | buy | 9.03 | $0.997 | $9 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | sell | 9.3 | $0.966 | $8.98 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | buy | 9.31 | $0.967 | $9 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.971 | $4.15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?No | sell | 2.91 | $0.980 | $2.85 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.992 | $2.89 | May 18, 2026 |
 Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | sell | 9.4 | $0.976 | $9.17 | May 18, 2026 |
| Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | buy | 9.41 | $0.978 | $9.2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.997 | $9.4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.69 | $0.970 | $9.4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.69 | $0.975 | $9.45 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | sell | 9.51 | $0.994 | $9.45 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.994 | $9.46 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?No | buy | 9.46 | $0.987 | $9.34 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?No | sell | 9.41 | $0.992 | $9.33 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?No | buy | 9.42 | $0.978 | $9.21 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $11-$12 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 15 – Dec 19?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.990 | $9.12 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Token Launch Party ParlayNo | sell | 9.18 | $0.993 | $9.12 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Token Launch Party ParlayNo | buy | 9.19 | $0.994 | $9.13 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 8?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.986 | $9.01 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $114 end of November?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.960 | $8.65 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 4-10?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.852 | $7.37 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by October 31?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.999 | $7.36 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.960 | $7.06 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.890 | $1.66 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.11 | $0.997 | $2.1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.995 | $2.06 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 2024 December hottest on record?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.997 | $2.01 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.960 | $5.94 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.966 | $2.26 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.966 | $1.38 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.995 | $1.89 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 14.1K | $0.001 | $14.1 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.996 | $2.11 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.44K | $0.001 | $17.44 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 3.02K | $0.996 | $3K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 3.02K | $0.998 | $3.01K | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 3.02K | $0.997 | $3.01K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 3.02K | $0.998 | $3.01K | Oct 22, 2024 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% before election?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.970 | $1.47 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by October 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.978 | $1.78 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November?No | buy | 0.66 | $0.968 | $0.64 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.950 | $1.24 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 U.S. military strike on Lebanon before November?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.974 | $0.51 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.997 | $1.45 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.997 | $0.99 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.98K | $0.002 | $13.95 | Oct 4, 2024 |