Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 3.28 | $0.120 | $1.8 | +$1.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.93 |
| $0.092 |
| $1.23 |
| +$0.22 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 0.51 | $0.140 | $0.34 | +$0.27 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.060 | $0.3 | -$0.79 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 0.27 | $0.140 | $0.15 | +$0.11 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.93 | $0.120 | $0.13 | -$0.11 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 0.51 | $0.140 | $0.08 | +$0.01 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 0.53 | $0.100 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.74 | $0.080 | $0.04 | -$0.02 |
 Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? | Yes | 0.39 | $0.160 | $0.04 | -$0.03 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.15 | $0.180 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.200 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.230 |
| $1.15 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.280 | $0.08 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.170 | $1.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.670 | $1.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Brazil to score first vs. Morocco?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.86 | $0.200 | $0.97 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.050 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 206.56 | $0.048 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 91.39 | $0.011 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 521.69 | $0.029 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.087 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.5 | $0.340 | $4.93 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?No | sell | 34.78 | $0.080 | $2.78 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 21.62 | $0.180 | $3.89 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.160 | $0.97 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.180 | $0.97 | May 13, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 8.69 | $0.120 | $1.04 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | sell | 12.31 | $0.320 | $3.94 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?No | buy | 34.78 | $0.120 | $4.17 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No | sell | 10.71 | $0.216 | $2.31 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 27.59 | $0.150 | $4.14 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.080 | $0.94 | May 12, 2026 |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.170 | $0.97 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.180 | $1.03 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.160 | $1.03 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 13.56 | $0.300 | $4.07 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 10.67 | $0.380 | $4.05 | May 11, 2026 |