Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.67 |
| $0.540 |
| $6.3 |
| Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.110 | $6 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneNo | buy | 34.29 | $0.350 | $12 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 145.45 | $0.110 | $16 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 290 | $0.007 | $2.03 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 200 | $0.006 | $1.2 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | sell | 16.46 | $0.041 | $0.67 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.49 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 276.46 | $0.181 | $50 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | sell | 30.39 | $0.028 | $0.85 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 191.15 | $0.110 | $21 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 349.25 | $0.067 | $23.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 6.0-7.0%?Yes | buy | 32.86 | $0.070 | $2.3 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%?Yes | buy | 80.43 | $0.062 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 1.0-2.0%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 0-1.0%?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.090 | $6 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 0-1.0%?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.080 | $6 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 1-2.0%?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.447 | $31.29 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?No | buy | 42.78 | $0.180 | $7.7 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.180 | $40 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?No | buy | 122.22 | $0.180 | $22 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 5 swing states?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 3 swing states?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 4 swing states?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 298.28 | $0.670 | $199.85 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 357.54 | $0.358 | $128 | Oct 22, 2024 |