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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 789.12 | $0.903 | $712.56 | Apr 17, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 1.7K |
| $0.419 |
| $713.29 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.921 | $1.02K | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.890 | $952.99 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 590.05 | $0.938 | $553.74 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 558.95 | $0.984 | $550.01 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 565.83 | $0.966 | $546.59 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 25.59 | $0.947 | $24.23 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.947 | $50.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 97 | $0.946 | $91.74 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.979 | $8.32 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?No | buy | 405 | $0.979 | $396.5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 509.17 | $0.983 | $500.51 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US strikes Iran by October 3?No | buy | 470 | $0.996 | $468.12 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 195 | $0.985 | $192.08 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 382 | $0.974 | $372.07 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | sell | 1.45K | $0.959 | $1.39K | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | sell | 150 | $0.961 | $144.15 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 192 | $0.994 | $190.85 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 999 | $0.979 | $978.02 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.989 | $42.53 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 4.29K | $0.989 | $4.24K | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?No | buy | 979 | $0.988 | $967.25 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 300 | $0.976 | $292.8 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 2K | $0.964 | $1.93K | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 845 | $0.974 | $823.03 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.983 | $1.45K | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 2.71K | $0.972 | $2.63K | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 232 | $0.986 | $228.73 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 867 | $0.985 | $853.98 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 203 | $0.982 | $199.35 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation before October?No | buy | 90 | $0.979 | $88.11 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 530 | $0.981 | $519.93 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 252 | $0.960 | $241.92 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 710 | $0.989 | $702.19 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.999 | $1.39K | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.978 | $98.78 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 222 | $0.944 | $209.57 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 3.09K | $0.996 | $3.08K | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.975 | $1.42K | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 23?No | buy | 7K | $0.999 | $6.99K | Aug 23, 2025 |