Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.340 | $498.99 | Mar 9, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.98K |
| $0.126 |
| $500.51 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 137.59K | $0.019 | $2.59K | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.586 | $1.52K | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.924 | $1.4K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.71K | $0.010 | $36 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.64K | $0.009 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 15.13K | $0.007 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 15.66K | $0.032 | $500 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.479 | $999 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?Yes | buy | 2.74K | $0.365 | $1K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 6.5K | $0.139 | $899.99 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 6.38K | $0.016 | $99.5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.456 | $999.49 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.614 | $1.5K | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Chargers | buy | 1.8K | $0.500 | $902.49 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.624 | $1.5K | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.97K | $0.201 | $999.5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.240 | $499.99 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Eagles vs. PackersPackers | buy | 882.39 | $0.510 | $450.02 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 959.61 | $0.990 | $950.01 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 959.62 | $0.260 | $249.5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.269 | $750 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Yes | buy | 629.3 | $0.636 | $400 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 915.93 | $0.109 | $100 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Colts vs. ChargersChargers | buy | 756.7 | $0.570 | $431.32 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Lions vs. ChiefsChiefs | buy | 431.33 | $0.580 | $250.17 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bears vs. RaidersRaiders | buy | 909.09 | $0.550 | $500 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Spread: LAC (-3.5)DEN | buy | 610.17 | $0.590 | $360 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.449 | $595.5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.71K | $0.070 | $189.84 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.71K | $0.127 | $344.42 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.42K | $0.150 | $811.23 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.177 | $9.62 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5)Giants | sell | 961.51 | $0.010 | $9.62 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5)Giants | buy | 961.52 | $0.520 | $499.99 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.79K | $0.066 | $707.3 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 656.29 | $0.381 | $249.99 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Texas vs. Ohio StateTexas | buy | 2.74K | $0.102 | $280.36 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Texas vs. Ohio StateTexas | sell | 1.06K | $0.029 | $30.78 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Texas vs. Ohio StateTexas | buy | 1.06K | $0.470 | $500 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.380 | $484.76 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 2.41K | $0.410 | $987.63 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 944.63 | $0.826 | $780.17 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 3.86K | $0.653 | $2.52K | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Daniel Penny found guilty?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.333 | $500 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.02K | $0.676 | $2.04K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tax" 15 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Yes | sell | 901.65 | $0.060 | $54.1 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "tax" 15 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Yes | buy | 901.66 | $0.870 | $784.44 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz say "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times during the debate?Yes | buy | 2.61K | $0.380 | $992.82 | Oct 2, 2024 |