Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.008 | $0.1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 17.24 |
| $0.033 |
| $0.57 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.191 | $0.61 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2 | $0.510 | $1.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 3.36 | $0.580 | $1.95 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.520 | $1.75 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.047 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |