Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.002 | $2.06 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 128.2 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.38 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.195 | $200 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 476.19 | $0.969 | $461.43 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.410 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 3.95K | $0.051 | $200 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.840 | $400 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.140 | $63.64 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.660 | $300 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | sell | 164 | $0.550 | $90.2 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.530 | $86.92 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.790 | $71.1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 516.1 | $0.969 | $500 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?Yes | sell | 789.98 | $0.280 | $221.19 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 1.59K | $0.063 | $99.69 | Jun 26, 2025 |