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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.600 | $88 | +$28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 99 |
| $0.805 |
| $87.62 |
| +$7.89 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 91.5 | $0.875 | $81.89 | +$1.83 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | Yes | 57 | $0.857 | $39.05 | -$9.83 |
 Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m? | Yes | 30.87 | $0.588 | $30.53 | +$12.38 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 25 | $0.646 | $20.38 | +$4.23 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 25 | $0.490 | $18 | +$5.75 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 15 | $0.700 | $7.8 | -$2.7 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Yes | 52.37 | $0.140 | $3.14 | -$4.19 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | Yes | 50 | $0.066 | $2.55 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.490 |
| $12.25 |
| 12h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 25 | $0.646 | $16.15 | 2d ago |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | 3d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?Yes | buy | 5.87 | $0.920 | $5.4 | 3d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 25 | $0.310 | $7.75 | 3d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.510 | $12.75 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.770 | $18.48 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.770 | $19.25 | 5d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 25 | $0.868 | $21.7 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 25 | $0.300 | $7.5 | 6d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.095 | $2.38 | 8d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?No | sell | 50 | $0.126 | $6.3 | 8d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.980 | $71.54 | 10d ago |
 Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.999 | $5.5 | 10d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.590 | $73.75 | 12d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.090 | $4.59 | 12d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?No | buy | 39 | $0.978 | $38.14 | 13d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.963 | $81.86 | 13d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.961 | $38.44 | 13d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.923 | $23.08 | 15d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | 15d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?No | buy | 40 | $0.410 | $16.4 | 16d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?No | buy | 10 | $0.409 | $4.09 | 16d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.266 | $6.65 | 16d ago |
 Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Yes | buy | 17.8 | $0.830 | $14.77 | 16d ago |
 Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?No | buy | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | 16d ago |
| Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.388 | $9.7 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.574 | $22.95 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.743 | $29.72 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?No | buy | 16 | $0.800 | $12.8 | 19d ago |
| Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.610 | $15.25 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.360 | $36.01 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | 20d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.549 | $13.72 | 20d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 15 | $0.700 | $10.5 | 24d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 24d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?No | buy | 23.44 | $0.872 | $20.44 | 24d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | 24d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | 24d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.74 | $0.800 | $9.39 | 25d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 25d ago |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?No | buy | 40 | $0.858 | $34.32 | 25d ago |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?No | buy | 93.17 | $0.855 | $79.66 | 25d ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.131 | $3.27 | 25d ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.126 | $3.27 | 25d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.936 | $93.61 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?No | buy | 24 | $0.063 | $1.51 | Aug 10, 2026 |