Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.82 | $0.740 | $1.35 | Jan 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.83 |
| $0.750 |
| $1.37 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.993 | $1.18 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.992 | $1.19 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.900 | $1.31 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.910 | $1.33 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.910 | $1.16 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.95 | $0.780 | $1.52 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 No US strike on Syria in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.900 | $1.04 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.350 | $0.98 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.850 | $1.08 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.480 | $1.35 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.999 | $1.55 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.95 | $0.610 | $1.19 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 14.03 | $0.957 | $13.43 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.957 | $1.45 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.994 | $1.31 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.820 | $1.01 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | buy | 14.03 | $0.997 | $13.99 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $240 in October?Yes | sell | 2.13 | $0.045 | $0.1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $240 in October?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.660 | $1.41 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.966 | $14.48 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.870 | $1.32 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.76 | $0.012 | $0.03 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.947 | $1.47 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $126K on August 18?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.910 | $1.42 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.82 | $0.880 | $2.48 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.500 | $1.38 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.36 | $0.180 | $0.6 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.890 | $2.51 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | sell | 2.57 | $0.290 | $0.75 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will João Almeida finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.995 | $1.07 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.961 | $14.41 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.330 | $1.11 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.520 | $1.34 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Jack Draper win the 2025 HSBC Championships?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.850 | $1.03 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will João Almeida finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.990 | $1.07 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.942 | $1.33 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.941 | $1.33 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.944 | $1.45 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.995 | $2.33 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.970 | $1.22 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 4.06 | $0.735 | $2.98 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 5.8 | $0.830 | $4.81 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?No | sell | 0.31 | $0.977 | $0.3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 2.65 | $0.996 | $2.64 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.855 | $1.33 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?No | sell | 4.36 | $0.260 | $1.13 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.997 | $4.98 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.860 | $2.87 | Jan 24, 2025 |