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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 15.86 | $0.996 | $15.79 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.86 | $0.996 | $15.8 | 1d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 15.85 |
| $0.997 |
| $15.8 |
| 16d ago |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 15.82 | $0.999 | $15.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?Yes | buy | 85.79 | $0.999 | $85.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 85.69 | $0.999 | $85.6 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No | buy | 85.59 | $0.999 | $85.5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 85.59 | $0.999 | $85.5 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.16 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?Yes | buy | 87.79 | $0.999 | $87.7 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?No | buy | 87.69 | $0.999 | $87.6 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.002 | $2.11 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?No | buy | 89.79 | $0.999 | $89.7 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No | buy | 89.79 | $0.999 | $89.7 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No | buy | 89.7 | $0.999 | $89.61 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.15 | $0.002 | $1.33 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 22?Yes | buy | 46.05 | $0.999 | $46 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 22?Yes | buy | 45.04 | $0.999 | $44.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 17?No | buy | 91.01 | $0.999 | $90.92 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?No | buy | 90.92 | $0.999 | $90.83 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 90.84 | $0.999 | $90.75 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.15 | $0.002 | $1.33 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?No | buy | 92.23 | $0.999 | $92.14 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 92.14 | $0.987 | $90.94 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No | buy | 90.94 | $0.999 | $90.85 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 90.85 | $0.999 | $90.76 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?No | buy | 92.16 | $0.999 | $92.07 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 12?No | buy | 92.06 | $0.998 | $91.88 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 4?No | buy | 91.88 | $0.999 | $91.79 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 23.37 | $0.856 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No | buy | 88.43 | $0.999 | $88.34 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 8?No | buy | 88.34 | $0.999 | $88.25 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 5?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.997 | $87.98 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 29?Yes | buy | 82.95 | $0.999 | $82.87 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 82.08 | $0.999 | $82 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.997 | $1.27 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.998 | $1.21 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.993 | $1.31 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 81.08 | $0.999 | $81 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?No | buy | 28.08 | $0.997 | $28 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 18?No | buy | 22.1 | $0.995 | $21.99 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on November 18?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.998 | $1.19 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.999 | $1.26 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 23.57 | $0.999 | $23.55 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 10?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 26.55 | $0.999 | $26.52 | Nov 5, 2025 |