Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.99 | $0.937 | $0.95 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.895 | $25.96 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 26 |
| $0.937 |
| $24.36 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 26 | $0.955 | $24.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.034 | $1.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.899 | $26.97 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 29 | $0.967 | $28.04 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.854 | $25.62 | May 25, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.926 | $27.78 | May 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.989 | $30.66 | May 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 32 | $0.946 | $30.27 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.938 | $27.2 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.931 | $16.76 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.780 | $30.42 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.966 | $7.73 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.037 | $0.04 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 1 | $0.968 | $0.97 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 2 | $0.976 | $1.95 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | sell | 4 | $0.980 | $3.92 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.967 | $7.74 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.040 | $0.88 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | sell | 9 | $0.975 | $8.78 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 9 | $0.979 | $8.81 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.929 | $9.29 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?No | sell | 10 | $0.954 | $9.54 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?No | buy | 10 | $0.957 | $9.57 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.147 | $1.76 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.147 | $1.76 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.951 | $9.51 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.995 | $8.96 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 9 | $0.967 | $8.7 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 9 | $0.981 | $8.83 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 9 | $0.970 | $8.73 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.918 | $11.02 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.053 | $1.22 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in July?No | buy | 12 | $0.936 | $11.23 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.944 | $9.44 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.021 | $0.76 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | buy | 10 | $0.942 | $9.42 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.021 | $0.8 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | buy | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.177 | $9.56 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.177 | $11.15 | Jul 7, 2025 |