Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89.29 | $0.560 | $42.41 | -$7.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.560 | $50 | 12d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 205.88 |
| $0.170 |
| $31.91 |
| -$3.09 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 100 | $0.460 | $29.5 | -$16.5 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 160 | $0.093 | $6.72 | -$8.16 |
| buy |
| 90.98 |
| $0.460 |
| $41.85 |
| 14d ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 31.58 | $0.093 | $2.94 | 24d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 205.88 | $0.170 | $35 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 381.46 | $0.655 | $250 | May 15, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 179.03 | $0.850 | $152.18 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 179.03 | $0.559 | $100 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.160 | $30 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.016 | $1.12 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?No | buy | 70 | $0.070 | $4.9 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.993 | $78.45 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.069 | $10.35 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.851 | $61.3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.900 | $112.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 290 | $0.932 | $270.28 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.024 | $30 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.150 | $10.5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.150 | $9.9 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.167 | $10.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 AK-1 election: Peltola (D) vs. Begich (R)Begich | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 11 | $0.470 | $5.17 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)Kent | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 28.33 | $0.140 | $3.97 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.170 | $24.99 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.320 | $25.28 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.350 | $25.2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.240 | $25.2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Washington move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.240 | $16.8 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?Yes | buy | 125.25 | $0.190 | $23.8 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.150 | $25.05 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Trump blowout victory?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.140 | $25.2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.510 | $89.25 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 48.72 | $0.390 | $19 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border czar" at debate?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Sep 10, 2024 |