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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.94K | $0.838 | $18.38K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.8K |
| $0.554 |
| $1K |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 29.39K | $0.659 | $19.38K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 29.39K | $0.585 | $17.19K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | sell | 7.15K | $0.014 | $99.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Bri McNees and Connor Spies marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.498 | $1K | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 29.61K | $0.611 | $18.09K | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 29.61K | $0.620 | $18.36K | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.06K | $0.496 | $4K | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.8K | $0.027 | $158.27 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Peter Attia out by February 15?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.887 | $1K | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 7.15K | $0.699 | $5K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.9K | $0.232 | $672.92 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.690 | $2K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.8K | $0.172 | $1K | Jan 10, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.313 | $1K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.697 | $1K | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 4.69K | $0.717 | $3.36K | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.656 | $1K | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 4.29K | $0.995 | $4.26K | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 12.51K | $0.602 | $7.53K | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 6.63K | $0.453 | $3K | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 4.29K | $0.700 | $3K | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 8.85K | $0.966 | $8.55K | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 5.67K | $0.594 | $3.37K | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.630 | $1K | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.630 | $1K | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 315.63 | $0.317 | $100 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?No | buy | 3.12K | $0.321 | $1K | May 10, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | sell | 2.59K | $0.546 | $1.41K | May 8, 2025 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.387 | $1K | May 8, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.670 | $1K | May 8, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 2.29K | $0.680 | $1.56K | Apr 25, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | sell | 2.51K | $0.620 | $1.56K | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 76K | $0.001 | $76 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.611 | $1K | Apr 11, 2025 |
| US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.398 | $1K | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.593 | $1K | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensNo | sell | 5.99K | $0.356 | $2.13K | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 1.82K | $0.550 | $1K | Apr 11, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.728 | $1K | Apr 9, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.685 | $1K | Apr 9, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.669 | $1K | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 4.21K | $0.238 | $1K | Apr 8, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.650 | $1K | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | sell | 3.1K | $0.948 | $2.94K | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 1.28K | $0.783 | $1K | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 1.42K | $0.704 | $1K | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.693 | $1K | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 3.22K | $0.874 | $2.81K | Mar 18, 2025 |