Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 23.28 | $0.154 | $2.04 | -$1.55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 240 | $0.928 | $222.63 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.436 |
| $1.3 |
| -$20.5 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.023 | $0.49 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 150 |
| $0.804 |
| $120.55 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No | sell | 200 | $0.476 | $95.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 39.72 | $0.936 | $37.18 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?No | sell | 17.05 | $0.829 | $14.13 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.031 | $0.62 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.430 | $17.2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No | sell | 20 | $0.962 | $19.24 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.211 | $3.16 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 27.66 | $0.170 | $4.7 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.858 | $34.32 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 248.5 | $0.538 | $133.74 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 125.73 | $0.946 | $118.94 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Yes | sell | 28.3 | $0.406 | $11.49 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 20.93 | $0.618 | $12.93 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.944 | $18.88 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 24?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.193 | $5.8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.027 | $1.35 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?No | sell | 100 | $0.798 | $79.79 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | sell | 99.98 | $0.860 | $85.98 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 19?No | sell | 147.19 | $0.640 | $94.2 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?No | sell | 47.5 | $0.870 | $41.33 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | sell | 99.98 | $0.640 | $63.99 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | sell | 12.49 | $0.965 | $12.06 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 58.7 | $0.780 | $45.79 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 50 | $0.956 | $47.8 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 50 | $0.035 | $1.73 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 74.99 | $0.098 | $7.35 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.959 | $19.18 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Netflix reach $105 in March?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.530 | $21.22 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.972 | $48.6 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.937 | $18.74 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.980 | $78.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.686 | $27.44 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?No | sell | 40 | $0.726 | $29.04 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?No | sell | 40 | $0.760 | $30.4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?No | sell | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?No | sell | 19.81 | $0.987 | $19.55 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 231.02 | $0.796 | $183.78 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.250 | $1.33 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.179 | $17.9 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.563 | $112.61 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 11?No | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Feb 11, 2026 |