Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.120 | $3.96 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.03K |
| $0.100 |
| $202 |
| May 22, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.020 | $29.56 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?No | buy | 118.19 | $0.320 | $37.82 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.070 | $210 | May 11, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 12K | $0.070 | $840 | May 11, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.130 | $650 | May 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 5.18K | $0.984 | $5.09K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.95K | $0.230 | $678.25 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.230 | $230 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 204.35 | $0.230 | $47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.096 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 2.27K | $0.220 | $500 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 236.34 | $0.260 | $61.45 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.029 | $70 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 657.14 | $0.035 | $23 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 7.14K | $0.140 | $1K | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 34.16K | $0.039 | $1.33K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.036 | $200 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.69K | $0.160 | $750 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.290 | $1K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.5K | $0.160 | $2K | Mar 16, 2026 |