Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 10 | $0.870 | $8.6 | -$0.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.490 |
| $6.1 |
| +$1.2 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.260 | $1.5 | -$1.1 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.005 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | 12d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 12.3 | $0.966 | $11.88 | 22d ago |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.180 | $2.7 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.902 | $27.06 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.507 | $25.37 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iasi (Doubles): Grevelius/Heinonen vs Sabanov/Sabanov AND Will England win? | buy | 40.57 | $0.118 | $4.78 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | buy | 176.73 | $0.055 | $9.72 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.036 | $0.36 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?No | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.947 | $9.47 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.034 | $0.17 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.033 | $0.17 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.061 | $0.31 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.260 | $2.41 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.350 | $3.27 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.300 | $2.79 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 9.31 | $0.310 | $2.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 9.13 | $0.130 | $1.19 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.060 | $0.36 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |