Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 40.87 | $0.150 | $6.13 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.2 |
| $0.122 |
| $1 |
| May 19, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?No | buy | 14.82 | $0.135 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 170.65 | $0.006 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.37 | $0.029 | $1 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in April?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump go on SNL before inauguration?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 >50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Elon Musk arrested in 2024?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out in 2024?Yes | buy | 31.41 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump go on SNL before inauguration?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Bolsonaro arrested in 2024?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 UK election called before 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Enron launch a token in 2024?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will XRP flip ETH in 2024?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 30m Bluesky users in December?Yes | buy | 44.35 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Pump.fun banned in the US before 2025?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 NATO article 5 before March?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Coinbase top 20 app December 13?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Jay-Z arrested in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Megaquake in December?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.035 | $2.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 71.13 | $0.211 | $15 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Maduro out before September?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.160 | $2.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.060 | $2.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.031 | $2.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Tuesday?Yes | buy | 56.43 | $0.070 | $3.95 | Aug 6, 2024 |