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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.387 | $138.62 | -$258.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 90.32 | $0.310 | $28 | Apr 21, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 90.32 |
| $0.310 |
| $4.06 |
| -$23.94 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.085 | $2.26 | -$2.74 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 28.9 | $0.104 | $1.84 | -$1.16 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 46.51 | $0.043 | $0.91 | -$1.09 |
| buy |
| 312.5 |
| $0.320 |
| $100 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.700 | $127.27 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.33 | $0.300 | $7 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 36.67 | $0.300 | $11 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.650 | $9.56 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.100 | $4.56 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.660 | $120 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 122.81 | $0.570 | $70 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 118.18 | $0.330 | $39 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 90.85 | $0.296 | $26.85 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 138.88 | $0.160 | $22.22 | Mar 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Yes | sell | 54.54 | $0.270 | $14.73 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 46.29 | $0.142 | $6.57 | Mar 27, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 23.91 | $0.616 | $14.74 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 511.11 | $0.450 | $230 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | sell | 30.76 | $0.150 | $4.61 | Mar 25, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 23.91 | $0.460 | $11 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.180 | $11.25 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 90.86 | $0.352 | $32 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.6 | $0.092 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 44.3 | $0.045 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 54.9 | $0.036 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.066 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.220 | $40.74 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 47.27 | $0.635 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 113.57 | $0.280 | $31.8 | Mar 15, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 51.14 | $0.350 | $17.9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes | sell | 165.13 | $0.105 | $17.35 | Mar 13, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.017 | $2.01 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 157.14 | $0.700 | $110 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 204.66 | $0.410 | $83.91 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes | buy | 88.88 | $0.169 | $15 | Mar 10, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 204.66 | $0.450 | $92.1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $120 in March?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?Yes | buy | 189.85 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 42 million views on day 2?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $68,500 on March 8?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.500 | $51 | Mar 8, 2026 |