Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 14 | $0.961 | $13.45 | 18d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 16 |
| $0.955 |
| $15.28 |
| 18d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.962 | $15.39 | 18d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.920 | $15.64 | 18d ago |
 Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.980 | $15.68 | 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.951 | $17.12 | 18d ago |
 US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.967 | $17.41 | 18d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.972 | $17.5 | 18d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | 18d ago |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | 18d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.981 | $17.66 | 18d ago |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.982 | $17.68 | 18d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.930 | $17.67 | 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | 18d ago |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | 18d ago |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.998 | $17.96 | 18d ago |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 19.5 | $0.980 | $19.11 | 18d ago |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 19.5 | $0.959 | $18.7 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.910 | $14.56 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.988 | $17.78 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.850 | $16.15 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.983 | $17.69 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.965 | $17.37 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.900 | $16.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.947 | $17.05 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 18 | $0.980 | $17.64 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.956 | $17.21 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.945 | $17.01 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 4 | $0.964 | $3.86 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 18 | $0.992 | $17.86 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.800 | $13.6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.973 | $17.51 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.997 | $17.95 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.870 | $13.92 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 14 | $0.940 | $13.16 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 92 | $0.999 | $91.91 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.999 | $108.89 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.994 | $104.37 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.998 | $108.78 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 97 | $0.996 | $96.61 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 112 | $0.997 | $111.66 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 103 | $0.994 | $102.38 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.996 | $107.62 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 108 | $0.995 | $107.46 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.996 | $107.57 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 108 | $0.993 | $107.24 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.991 | $107.03 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.994 | $104.37 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 106 | $0.996 | $105.58 | Dec 14, 2025 |