Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | May 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.94 |
| $0.810 |
| $4.2 |
| +$0.2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 3.42 | $0.878 | $0.56 | -$2.44 |
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $5 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.941 | $4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.949 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.986 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.878 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.980 | $6 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.94 | $0.162 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.983 | $8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.971 | $5.6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.982 | $5.1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 4.72 | $0.995 | $4.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.940 | $6.1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.972 | $5.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.986 | $5.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.940 | $5.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 9.61 | $0.988 | $9.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lipscomb BisonsLipscomb Bisons | buy | 12.42 | $0.696 | $8.64 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-03?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.925 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-03?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-03?Yes | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will VfL Bochum 1848 win on 2025-12-03?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will New Zealand win?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?Yes | buy | 30.76 | $0.590 | $18.15 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Armenia win on 2025-11-13?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-13?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No | buy | 18.01 | $0.994 | $17.9 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.890 | $40.05 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Interstellar object confirmed aliens?No | sell | 52.33 | $0.972 | $50.86 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 50.91 | $0.660 | $33.6 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 32.63 | $0.800 | $26.1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 68.18 | $0.983 | $67.02 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Interstellar object confirmed aliens?No | buy | 52.33 | $0.994 | $52 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.880 | $60 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No | sell | 81.16 | $0.983 | $79.75 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No | buy | 81.16 | $0.989 | $80.29 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Viktor Gyokeres sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | buy | 80.29 | $0.997 | $80.05 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 80.05 | $0.984 | $78.77 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?No | buy | 78.77 | $0.999 | $78.69 | May 3, 2025 |