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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.050 | $27.5 | +$22.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.029 | $10.15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 0.31 |
| $0.060 |
| $0.02 |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine strike in Russia on 28 November 2025?No | buy | 35 | $0.290 | $10.15 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Ukraine strike in Russia on 28 November 2025?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.280 | $1.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.085 | $1.28 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 66.82 | $0.023 | $1.54 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.143 | $3.57 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.252 | $2.52 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 39.97 | $0.250 | $9.99 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.251 | $25.07 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.251 | $2.51 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.182 | $1.82 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.123 | $4.92 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.690 | $1.49 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.240 | $3.6 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.027 | $2.16 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.028 | $0.56 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.310 | $7.75 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal party lead by 6-7% on April 18?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal party lead by 6-7% on April 18?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.850 | $21.25 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal party lead by 6-7% on April 18?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.340 | $8.5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on April 30?Yes | sell | 15.71 | $0.050 | $0.79 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.060 | $1.8 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on April 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.101 | $2.02 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.151 | $3.02 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.100 | $2.1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.096 | $4.79 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.099 | $5.15 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 65-66°F on April 15?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.170 | $0.19 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 56°F or below on April 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal party lead by 5-6% on April 18?Yes | sell | 50.41 | $0.250 | $12.6 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on April 14?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on April 14?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.035 | $1.75 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on April 18?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.79 | $0.040 | $0.59 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on April 30?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.550 | $10.45 | Apr 12, 2025 |