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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 60 | $0.939 | $55.41 | -$0.91 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 14d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.930 |
| $46.75 |
| +$0.25 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 31.38 | $0.940 | $29.95 | +$0.46 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.961 | $19.87 | +$0.65 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 21.11 | $0.905 | $19.32 | +$0.22 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.552 | $15.7 | +$4.67 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 15 | $0.830 | $12.98 | +$0.53 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.910 | $9.62 | +$0.52 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 20 | $0.425 | $4.3 | -$4.2 |
| sell |
| 71.42 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.07 |
| 14d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | 14d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | 14d ago |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 19d ago |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.429 | $4.29 | 20d ago |
 Will Trump say "Sucker" in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 24d ago |
| Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.423 | $2.11 | 24d ago |
| Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 24d ago |
 LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | 24d ago |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | 24d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | 24d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.953 | $19.06 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Alaska" during Friday roundtable?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during Friday roundtable?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "GM" or "General Motors" during Friday roundtable?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Obama" during Friday roundtable?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "National Security" during Friday roundtable?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Permit" or "Permitting" during Friday roundtable?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during Friday roundtable?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 7.52 | $0.440 | $3.31 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.69 | $0.970 | $10.37 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.925 | $9.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Shit" in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sucker" in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ass" in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Putin" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |