Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 21h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.78 |
| $0.720 |
| $2.19 |
| +$0.19 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.99 | +$0.99 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? | No | 2.78 | $0.720 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 1.97 | $0.507 | $1.81 | +$0.81 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | No | 2.14 | $0.468 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026? | No | 1.44 | $0.696 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | No | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 1.52 |
| $0.660 |
| $1 |
| 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.560 | $0.82 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.002 | $0 | 12d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.234 | $0.35 | 14d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.585 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.696 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.674 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.090 | $0.16 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.600 | $1.82 | 21d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 22d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.032 | $0.11 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 29d ago |
 Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.997 | $1.71 | 29d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.557 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.230 | $0.29 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.070 | $0.13 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.956 | $1.18 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.981 | $1.29 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Etoro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.468 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.060 | $0.19 | Aug 5, 2026 |