Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.650 | $0.14 | -$0.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.041 | $0.05 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.5 |
| $0.211 |
| $0.1 |
| -$0.01 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.182 | $0.07 | -$0.03 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.33 | $0.254 | $0.07 | -$0.01 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.110 | $0.06 | -$0.04 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 0.55 | $0.377 | $0.06 | -$0.15 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.428 | $0.06 | -$0.33 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.38 | $0.510 | $0.05 | -$0.14 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.060 | $0.03 | -$0.03 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 0.6 | $0.068 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 0.36 | $0.141 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 0.16 | $0.497 | $0.02 | -$0.06 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.42 | $0.072 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.65 | $0.080 | $0.01 | -$0.04 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 0.72 | $0.086 | $0.01 | -$0.05 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 0.17 | $0.120 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 7.4 |
| $0.043 |
| $0.32 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.11 | $0.012 | $0.42 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.130 | $0.56 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 57.37 | $0.006 | $0.34 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.270 | $0.66 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.83 | $0.080 | $1.11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 35.18 | $0.041 | $1.44 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.43 | $0.100 | $1.44 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 36.79 | $0.042 | $1.54 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 19.63 | $0.100 | $1.96 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 20.85 | $0.110 | $2.29 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.92 | $0.050 | $2.1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.62 | $0.031 | $2.81 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 60.83 | $0.050 | $3.04 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.94 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.01 | $0.260 | $3.64 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 9.88 | $0.390 | $3.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.46 | $0.038 | $3.82 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.039 | $3.92 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 99.51 | $0.043 | $4.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30.76 | $0.022 | $0.68 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 69.23 | $0.034 | $2.37 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 52.18 | $0.090 | $4.7 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 71.79 | $0.060 | $4.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | sell | 99.13 | $0.047 | $4.66 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.060 | $4.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.1 | $0.050 | $4.96 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 27.81 | $0.200 | $5.56 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 77.2 | $0.070 | $5.4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.04 | $0.120 | $5.64 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 60.78 | $0.090 | $5.47 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.94 | $0.076 | $7.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 91.8 | $0.090 | $8.26 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | sell | 93.7 | $0.090 | $8.43 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 52.71 | $0.190 | $10.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.57 | $0.926 | $14.42 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 86.35 | $0.192 | $16.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.97 | $0.560 | $19.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 46.73 | $0.830 | $38.79 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 13.2 | $0.070 | $0.92 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.031 | $1.86 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.031 | $0.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.021 | $0.17 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.020 | $0.26 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.026 | $0.16 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.039 | $0.23 | May 31, 2026 |