Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.71 | +$0.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.540 | $2.29 | 18h ago |
 |
| No |
| 6.08 |
| $0.770 |
| $5.7 |
| +$1.02 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.52 | +$0.48 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.11 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.33 | $0.300 | $2.46 | -$0.04 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.24 | $0.540 | $2.31 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.43 | $0.840 | $2.11 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 3.5 | $0.460 | $1.91 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 2.7 | $0.610 | $1.2 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.190 | $1.11 | -$0.03 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | Yes | 3.43 | $0.600 | $0.02 | -$2.04 |
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $5 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.600 | $2.06 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.460 | $1.67 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | 17d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.770 | $4.13 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | 19d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 20d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 26d ago |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.710 | $4.74 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.500 | $1.96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.670 | $3.94 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.690 | $5.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.690 | $5.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 4 | $0.310 | $1.24 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 26, 2026 |