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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.329 | $1.49K | +$795.78 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.545 | $109.64 | 28d ago |
 |
| No |
| 396.98 |
| $0.465 |
| $379.12 |
| +$194.41 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 619 | $0.555 | $331.17 | -$12.28 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.890 | $191 | +$13 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.650 | $185 | +$55 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.720 | $171 | +$27 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.440 | $161 | +$73 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 327.73 | $0.049 | $135.68 | +$119.5 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 164.32 | $0.077 | $40.83 | +$28.22 |
 Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.290 | $25.5 | -$3.5 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 108.96 | $0.037 | $0.16 | -$3.88 |
| sell |
| 235 |
| $0.999 |
| $234.77 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 235 | $0.741 | $174.14 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 68.96 | $0.036 | $2.48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.160 | $24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.259 | $54.39 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 569 | $0.555 | $315.94 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 78.05 | $0.800 | $62.44 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.520 | $78 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?Yes | buy | 10.08 | $0.058 | $0.58 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?Yes | sell | 70.66 | $0.590 | $41.69 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.1K | $0.268 | $563.82 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.078 | $163.85 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?Yes | buy | 70.66 | $0.290 | $20.49 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.540 | $216 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 78.05 | $0.210 | $16.39 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.530 | $265 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 700 | $0.800 | $560 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.038 | $11.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 700 | $0.710 | $497 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.963 | $96.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 507.33 | $0.080 | $40.59 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400.2 | $0.080 | $32.02 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.180 | $183.27 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 591.77 | $0.170 | $100.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 364.99 | $0.190 | $69.35 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.331 | $33.05 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?No | sell | 87.13 | $0.850 | $74.06 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.86K | $0.002 | $7.73 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 241 | $0.209 | $50.49 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 10.94 | $0.640 | $7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.121 | $21.49 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | May 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.040 | $16 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 356.14 | $0.070 | $24.93 | May 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.060 | $24 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | May 12, 2026 |