Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.3 | $0.644 | $5.7 | +$1.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5.82 |
| $0.826 |
| $5.38 |
| +$0.58 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.810 | $4.73 | +$0.68 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.630 | $4.48 | +$1.33 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 4.03 | $0.870 | $3.83 | +$0.32 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 8.11 | $0.620 | $2.88 | -$2.15 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 34.83 | $0.029 | $0.17 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.130 |
| $1.3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.180 | $1.79 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.530 | $0.83 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.350 | $1.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 2.64 | $0.590 | $1.56 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.890 | $4.43 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | sell | 3.38 | $0.860 | $2.91 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | sell | 3.9 | $0.900 | $3.51 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.584 | $2.91 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 2.49 | $0.940 | $2.34 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 2.13 | $0.530 | $1.13 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 2.85 | $0.390 | $1.11 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.87 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.370 | $1.18 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.500 | $7.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.820 | $3.49 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 4.94 | $0.024 | $0.12 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 10 | $0.063 | $0.63 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | buy | 14.94 | $0.085 | $1.27 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.560 | $2.75 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 3.21 | $0.390 | $1.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.410 | $2.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.410 | $2.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |