Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.350 | $12.75 | -$4.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.430 |
| $4.95 |
| +$0.65 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 5 | $0.700 | $3.28 | -$0.23 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 450 | $0.007 | $2.25 | -$0.9 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 110 | $0.016 | $0.61 | -$1.15 |
| sell |
| 49.98 |
| $0.870 |
| $43.48 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.200 | $22 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.214 | $12.83 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.221 | $22.06 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.169 | $8.44 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.270 | $41.85 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.44K | $0.042 | $228.92 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 108 | $0.200 | $21.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.700 | $5.6 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.740 | $20.72 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.356 | $35.64 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.119 | $27.37 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.049 | $8.09 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.048 | $0.96 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.705 | $70.45 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.875 | $35 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.042 | $2.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.042 | $12.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.020 | $7.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 40.37 | $0.050 | $2.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.500 | $60 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.072 | $1.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.076 | $2.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.079 | $7.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.415 | $87.21 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.743 | $22.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |