Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.79 | $0.790 | $2.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.100 |
| $2.25 |
| -$2.75 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 3.12 | $0.060 | $1.87 | +$1.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-37 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.070 | $1.85 | -$1.65 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.070 | $1.7 | -$1.8 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 0.98 | $0.690 | $0.9 | +$0.23 |
 Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.93 | $0.880 | $0.86 | +$0.05 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1 | $0.914 | $0.82 | -$0.1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 0.89 | $0.535 | $0.71 | +$0.23 |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.86 | $0.164 | $0.62 | -$0.18 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 0.53 | $0.911 | $0.51 | +$0.03 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 0.52 | $0.630 | $0.45 | +$0.12 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.49 | $0.733 | $0.42 | +$0.06 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.420 | $0.35 | -$0.07 |
 Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 18.92 | $0.080 | $0.32 | -$1.19 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40 | $0.011 | $0.26 | -$0.18 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.69 | $0.600 | $0.17 | -$1.44 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.28 | $0.611 | $0.14 | -$0.03 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.12 | $0.356 | $0.11 | +$0.07 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.61 | $0.160 | $0.04 | -$0.06 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.78 | $0.045 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 0.28 | $0.200 | $0.03 | -$0.03 |
 Canva IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.68 | $0.220 | $0.02 | -$0.13 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.18 | $0.110 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.942 |
| $18.84 |
| May 31, 2026 |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.144 | $2.88 | May 25, 2026 |
| Canva IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.050 | $0.85 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 8.96 | $0.970 | $8.69 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?No | sell | 19 | $0.033 | $0.63 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.072 | $2.16 | May 13, 2026 |
 QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 16?Down | sell | 132 | $0.410 | $54.12 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16?Up | sell | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 16?Up | buy | 97.36 | $0.670 | $65.23 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16?Down | buy | 104.45 | $0.369 | $38.55 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.74 | $0.540 | $2.02 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.58 | $0.420 | $1.92 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.63 | $0.490 | $2.27 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 41.76 | $0.500 | $20.88 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.64 | $0.500 | $2.32 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.5 | $0.470 | $3.06 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.6 | $0.450 | $2.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.6 | $0.450 | $2.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 14.78 | $0.470 | $6.95 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.62 | $0.470 | $2.17 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 14.78 | $0.470 | $6.95 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 254.54 | $0.460 | $117.09 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 51.65 | $0.460 | $23.76 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 14.99 | $0.560 | $8.39 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.6 | $0.450 | $2.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.68 | $0.560 | $2.62 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 14.94 | $0.540 | $8.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.67 | $0.540 | $2.52 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.68 | $0.550 | $2.57 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 46.63 | $0.664 | $30.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 37.54 | $0.740 | $27.78 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 37.6 | $0.750 | $28.2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.44 | $0.220 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.44 | $0.220 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.44 | $0.220 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 6.21 | $0.220 | $1.37 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.44 | $0.220 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.44 | $0.220 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 40.72 | $0.340 | $13.85 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 27.15 | $0.340 | $9.23 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 40.72 | $0.340 | $13.85 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.52 | $0.340 | $1.54 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.53 | $0.350 | $1.59 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.53 | $0.350 | $1.59 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.53 | $0.350 | $1.59 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown | sell | 553.68 | $0.460 | $254.69 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 141.28 | $0.640 | $90.42 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 131.79 | $0.640 | $84.35 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 4.74 | $0.640 | $3.03 | Apr 16, 2026 |