Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 95 | $0.762 | $86.93 | +$14.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 99.27 | $0.005 | $0.5 | May 13, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 77.78 |
| $0.759 |
| $77.43 |
| +$18.39 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 70 | $0.623 | $58.1 | +$14.5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.530 | $26.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | 28 | $0.595 | $19.46 | +$2.8 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.313 | $15.6 | -$3.2 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 160 | $0.333 | $14.4 | -$38.9 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $9.67 | +$0.77 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10 | $0.840 | $9.4 | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.670 | $8.55 | +$1.85 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 5 | $0.700 | $4.88 | +$1.38 |
 Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.100 | $3.65 | -$0.19 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.195 | $3.28 | -$4.52 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? | Yes | 34.2 | $0.230 | $2.91 | -$4.96 |
 Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.080 | $1.78 | -$2.23 |
| sell |
| 133.13 |
| $0.025 |
| $3.34 |
| May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.941 | $9.41 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.830 | $6.64 | May 5, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | May 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.800 | $64 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.31 | $0.370 | $1.59 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 213.6 | $0.281 | $59.94 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.970 | $24.25 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 130 | $0.080 | $10.4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.560 | $3.73 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.520 | $3.46 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.480 | $3.2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 18.59 | $0.430 | $7.99 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 99.27 | $0.260 | $25.81 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 9.21 | $0.570 | $5.25 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 7.66 | $0.700 | $5.36 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Nov 1, 2025 |