Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.300 | $18.9 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 23.62 |
| $0.460 |
| $10.87 |
| May 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.870 | $7.92 | May 19, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 68 | $0.620 | $42.16 | May 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.957 | $47.85 | May 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.957 | $47.85 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.984 | $29.52 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.021 | $1.74 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.018 | $0.92 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | May 15, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.043 | $2.84 | May 15, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.047 | $5.83 | May 15, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.012 | $0.18 | May 15, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.013 | $1.17 | May 14, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.990 | $35.64 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 49 | $0.985 | $48.27 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | buy | 49 | $0.983 | $48.17 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.925 | $39.78 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.925 | $39.78 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | sell | 49 | $0.985 | $48.27 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 49 | $0.983 | $48.17 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.027 | $1.16 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 182 | $0.116 | $21.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.115 | $21.16 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.966 | $43.47 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.965 | $0.97 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.944 | $47.2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.044 | $3.78 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.017 | $0.82 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.023 | $1.1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 29.13 | $0.969 | $28.23 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 45 | $0.971 | $43.7 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.243 | $4.86 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.247 | $4.94 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 64 | $0.746 | $47.74 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 64 | $0.757 | $48.45 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?No | sell | 31 | $0.843 | $26.13 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 46 | $0.967 | $44.48 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.038 | $1.67 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.041 | $1.8 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 51 | $0.878 | $44.78 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 51 | $0.879 | $44.83 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 32 | $0.848 | $27.14 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.056 | $9.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.035 | $3.36 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.038 | $3.65 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.085 | $8.93 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.085 | $12.92 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.038 | $3.23 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.039 | $3.59 | Apr 15, 2026 |