Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No | buy | 5.44 | $0.990 | $5.39 | May 10, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.1 |
| $0.993 |
| $14 |
| May 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.990 | $6.98 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 12.97 | $0.996 | $12.92 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will SPD, FDP, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.001 | $3.13 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Trump negative approval by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.999 | $7.01 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Kanye tweet 400 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?No | sell | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?No | buy | 11.04 | $0.989 | $10.92 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Kanye tweet 400 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign less than 28 executive orders in February?No | buy | 10.9 | $0.999 | $10.89 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Megaquake in February?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 47.0% on February 21?No | buy | 14.89 | $0.998 | $14.86 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $2.5b and $3b on Feb 21?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.999 | $5.27 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Coralie Fargeat win Best Director at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "The Substance"?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.999 | $5.5 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will "Kneecap" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14?No | buy | 10.92 | $0.999 | $10.91 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on February 14?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Yesenia Hernandez Jaime (Player 947) win the Beast Games?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Mona Lisa"?No | buy | 7.48 | $0.990 | $7.41 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Jay-Z perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Khari Blasingame score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.984 | $1.56 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.994 | $2.3 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Brooklyn Nets?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.992 | $2.2 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 2025 January hottest on record?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.999 | $6.4 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?Yes | buy | 6.42 | $0.999 | $6.41 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Trump positive favorability on February 1?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.995 | $1.2 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.942 | $3.44 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Jan 31, 2025 |