Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3K | $0.500 | $2.28K | +$775.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | May 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3K |
| $0.500 |
| $724.5 |
| -$775.5 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 10.01 | $0.991 | $10 | +$0.09 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 0.76 | $0.691 | $0.74 | +$0.22 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | No | 0.77 | $0.905 | $0.72 | +$0.02 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.5 | $0.976 | $0.49 | -$0 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.01 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.902 | $2.02 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.730 | $2.65 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.949 | $1.83 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.989 | $1.09 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.990 | $1.07 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 2.37 | $0.987 | $2.34 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.994 | $2.5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.976 | $1.68 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 4.42 | $0.982 | $4.34 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?No | sell | 2.4 | $0.868 | $2.08 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.911 | $9.11 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.033 | $0.33 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.981 | $9.81 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.928 | $9.28 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 20 | $0.925 | $18.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.041 | $0.41 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.012 | $0.12 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 10 | $0.785 | $7.85 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.972 | $19.44 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.990 | $9.89 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 10 | $0.766 | $7.66 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 10.73 | $0.966 | $10.37 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.719 | $7.18 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.918 | $9.18 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 10 | $0.629 | $6.29 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 6.92 | $0.702 | $4.86 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10 | $0.885 | $8.85 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.966 | $9.66 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 13.99 | $0.047 | $0.66 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 19.34 | $0.880 | $17.02 | Mar 24, 2026 |