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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.53 | $0.770 | $2.45 | +$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 29m ago |
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| No |
| 2.53 |
| $0.770 |
| $2.37 |
| +$0.42 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2.2 | +$0.2 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.810 | $2.16 | +$0.11 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.610 | $2 | +$0.14 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.35 | $0.460 | $1.89 | -$0.11 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.39 | $0.590 | $1.88 | -$0.12 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 2.03 | $0.800 | $1.81 | +$0.19 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.490 | $1.67 | +$0.2 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 2.6 | $0.770 | $1.55 | -$0.45 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.77 | $0.440 | $1.37 | +$0.15 |
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.54 | $0.240 | $1.03 | -$0.3 |
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5 | Under | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 2.74 |
| $0.730 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 2d ago |
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 6d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 6d ago |
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 6d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 7d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 7d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 8d ago |
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 8d ago |
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in July?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 8d ago |
Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 8d ago |
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 9d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 9d ago |
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 9d ago |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 10d ago |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 10d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 10d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 10d ago |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 10d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 11d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 11d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.66 | $0.207 | $2 | 11d ago |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 28?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 12d ago |
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 12d ago |
Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 12d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 13d ago |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | 13d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 13d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 14d ago |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 14d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 14d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 16d ago |
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $182 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 16d ago |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | 16d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.432 | $2 | 17d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.791 | $2 | 17d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 17d ago |
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 18d ago |
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 18d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 19d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 19d ago |
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 19d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 20d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 20d ago |
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 20d ago |