Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.23 |
| $0.310 |
| $1 |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Made in America" 2+ times during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Japan" during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Gen Z Quant rug another coin by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2?Down | buy | 12.5 | $0.720 | $9 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 2?Up | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 1?Up | buy | 9.72 | $0.720 | $7 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Fear & Greed Index report "Fear" on March 31?Yes | buy | 42.31 | $0.260 | $11 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.130 | $8.13 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.890 | $9 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| USDT depeg in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.25 | $0.160 | $9 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| USDT depeg in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Tether insolvent in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.650 | $9.42 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Oracle buy TikTok?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.300 | $0.91 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 X relaunches Vine before July?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.780 | $0.84 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| X relaunches Vine before July?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the March meeting?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 32.35 | $0.680 | $22 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Manchester City wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Chelsea wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Biden say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during farewell address?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "Kamala" or "Harris" during farewell address?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?No | buy | 20.82 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.38 | $0.967 | $11 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |