0x78c9…1078 — Polymarket trader profile

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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.

Polymarket profile

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Market	Side	Size	Price	Notional	When
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes	buy	26.86	$0.510	$13.7	Jan 14, 2026

About this trader

Stagosh on the record

Stagosh is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,578,947 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$95.23 observed lifetime PnL, 188 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 76.0% win rate on resolved positions.

Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.

Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x78c9ce522f1189570f336dd8d696367bd0ce1078

Field guide

How to read this trader profile

9 stops

Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.

01
Rank
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed 80K
#2,578,947
02
Total PnL
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.

Questions

Questions about Stagosh

Who is Stagosh on Polymarket?: Stagosh is the public display name of a Polymarket wallet that ranks #2,578,947 in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort. The accepted snapshot shows -$95.23 observed lifetime PnL. Vultax publishes the wallet under a stable alias and links to the public Polymarket profile.
What does observed PnL mean?: Observed PnL is the profit and loss Polymarket's public leaderboard reported for this wallet at the moment Vultax accepted its snapshot. It combines realized and unrealized results and is a record of what happened, not a prediction.
How is the rank calculated?: Vultax accepts one snapshot of 80,000 public Polymarket wallets and orders them by observed lifetime PnL. The rank is the wallet's position in that ordering. Because every profile in the cohort uses the same snapshot, ranks are comparable across profiles, but they change when a new snapshot is accepted.
Why are some figures unavailable?: Polymarket exposes different data for different wallets, and Vultax loads a bounded number of rows per view. When a source has not answered or a sample is too small, the figure is marked unavailable or partial instead of being shown as zero.
Is this profile live?: No single number on the page is live. Rank, PnL and volume are from the accepted snapshot; positions, the chart and the trade list are separate observations, each stamped with the time it was fetched. Trade times show when the fills happened.
Can I copy Stagosh's trades on Vultax?: Vultax does not offer copy trading or execute orders. You can open any market this wallet trades in the Vultax predictions monitor, paper trade it, or watch the wallet to follow its markets.

Cross-venue exposure

Tracker room participation

Source evidence

Stagosh on the record

How to read this trader profile

Rank

Total PnL

Questions about Stagosh

Observed volume

Position value

Win rate

Gains and losses

Loss drag

Markets and resolved positions

Loaded depth and observation time