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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.65 | $0.039 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 62 | $0.965 | $59.83 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 38 |
| $0.910 |
| $34.58 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 74 | $0.900 | $66.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 61 | $0.820 | $50.02 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.800 | $33.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.550 | $20.9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.590 | $71.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.200 | $9.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 99.86 | $0.180 | $17.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.510 | $1.02 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.540 | $16.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.530 | $51.41 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.037 | $1.52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.310 | $27.28 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.640 | $63.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 68 | $0.938 | $63.78 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.590 | $50.15 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.550 | $44.55 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.740 | $42.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.720 | $41.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.126 | $10.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.5 | $0.650 | $48.43 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.037 | $5.29 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 64 | $0.933 | $59.71 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.966 | $48.29 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.035 | $1.89 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.035 | $2.39 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 64 | $0.570 | $36.48 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.440 | $11 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.660 | $39.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.987 | $30.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.987 | $30.6 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.022 | $1.76 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 65 | $0.934 | $60.71 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.934 | $31.76 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 77 | $0.774 | $59.6 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 86 | $0.690 | $59.34 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.108 | $9.07 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.580 | $31.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.580 | $58.58 | May 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 53 | $0.959 | $50.83 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.069 | $5.8 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.490 | $0.98 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.410 | $36.08 | May 27, 2026 |