Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.08 | $0.710 | $6.69 | +$1.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8.03 |
| $0.620 |
| $2.21 |
| -$2.77 |
| buy |
| 26 |
| $0.180 |
| $4.68 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.340 | $4.59 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.880 | $4.88 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.870 | $4.88 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.759 | $4.87 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.870 | $4.88 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.820 | $4.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 13.62 | $0.366 | $4.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.680 | $4.86 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.160 | $1.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.970 | $4.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.37 | $0.910 | $4.89 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.970 | $4.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.987 | $4.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.858 | $4.89 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 10.86 | $0.459 | $4.98 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.140 | $4.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.3 | $0.026 | $0.66 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.18 | $0.024 | $1.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.05 | $0.017 | $2.44 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.430 | $4.78 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 14.24 | $0.330 | $4.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.811 | $4.94 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 17.85 | $0.260 | $4.64 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.796 | $4.88 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.84 | $0.129 | $4.11 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes | buy | 39.68 | $0.107 | $4.25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.832 | $4.79 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.694 | $4.86 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.934 | $4.94 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.950 | $4.89 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.962 | $4.87 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.697 | $4.98 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 9.61 | $0.506 | $4.86 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.210 | $2.33 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.500 | $4.63 | May 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.570 | $4.83 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.150 | $4.41 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.510 | $4.11 | May 19, 2026 |
 Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 138.88 | $0.018 | $2.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.67 | $0.139 | $4.54 | May 18, 2026 |
 Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.930 | $4.94 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.120 | $4.29 | May 18, 2026 |