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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 5 | $0.200 | $0.63 | -$0.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.85 | $0.790 | $3.83 | Jul 2, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 15.15 |
| $0.066 |
| $0.45 |
| -$0.55 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.006 | $0.23 | -$0.29 |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 34.8 | $0.172 | $0.03 | -$5.95 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.190 | $0.01 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.881 |
| $4.41 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 7.85 | $0.390 | $3.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.86 | $0.560 | $6.64 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes | sell | 14.77 | $0.170 | $2.51 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.86 | $0.250 | $4.47 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 25.26 | $0.110 | $2.78 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 29.72 | $0.067 | $1.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 48.33 | $0.150 | $7.25 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.993 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.976 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.997 | $1.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?No | sell | 2 | $0.992 | $1.98 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.49 | $0.992 | $2.47 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.942 | $2.36 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.982 | $2.63 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.996 | $2.98 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.920 | $2.76 | Jun 30, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.993 | $3.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.997 | $3.51 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No | sell | 3.71 | $0.991 | $3.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No | sell | 3.99 | $0.999 | $3.99 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | sell | 4.29 | $0.987 | $4.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.614 | $3.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.920 | $4.58 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.670 | $3.34 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.587 | $2.93 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.989 | $4.94 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.990 | $5.44 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.33 | $0.760 | $4.81 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?No | sell | 6.87 | $0.860 | $5.91 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?No | sell | 9.1 | $0.570 | $5.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 9.9 | $0.850 | $8.42 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | sell | 13.77 | $0.610 | $8.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $114 in July?No | sell | 25 | $0.081 | $2.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.026 | $0.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.070 | $0.12 | Jun 29, 2026 |