Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?Yes | sell | 4.82 | $0.840 | $4.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.67 |
| $0.060 |
| $0.9 |
| -$0.1 |
| sell |
| 4.97 |
| $0.420 |
| $2.09 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.800 | $5.88 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.38 | $0.600 | $4.43 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.43 | $0.275 | $2.04 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 7.85 | $0.390 | $3.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.834 | $7.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.099 | $1.08 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 11.47 | $0.515 | $5.91 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | sell | 12.26 | $0.250 | $3.07 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.290 | $4.35 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.74 | $0.250 | $4.44 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 18.8 | $0.340 | $6.39 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.068 | $1.28 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.218 | $4.36 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.122 | $4.27 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.021 | $2.94 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.860 | $0.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.947 | $0.98 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.370 | $0.93 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.052 | $0.26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.972 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.993 | $1.11 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.920 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.981 | $1.15 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.840 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.848 | $1.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.840 | $1.08 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.937 | $1.48 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.580 | $1.22 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.840 | $2.42 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | sell | 4.92 | $0.880 | $4.33 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.604 | $3.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | sell | 6.33 | $0.670 | $4.24 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.740 | $4.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.830 | $6.33 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | sell | 8.99 | $0.996 | $8.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.470 | $4.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 14.16 | $0.180 | $2.55 | Jun 30, 2026 |