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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.3 | $0.460 | $0.07 | -$0.07 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.034 | $0.1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.46 |
| $0.047 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 36 |
| $0.894 |
| $32.18 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.480 | $33.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.810 | $13.77 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.810 | $13.77 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.140 | $10.78 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.963 | $40.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.723 | $7.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.820 | $7.38 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.941 | $43.29 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.942 | $43.33 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.825 | $39.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.162 | $2.11 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.907 | $16.33 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.924 | $16.63 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.144 | $2.74 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.935 | $40.21 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.620 | $8.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.640 | $45.44 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.600 | $4.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 76 | $0.550 | $41.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 49 | $0.440 | $21.56 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 67 | $0.450 | $30.15 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.190 | $8.17 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.460 | $33.12 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.3 | $0.460 | $33.26 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.968 | $42.59 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.969 | $42.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.969 | $42.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.969 | $42.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.047 | $6.39 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.045 | $3.15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.043 | $3.66 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 21.4 | $0.810 | $17.33 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 53 | $0.811 | $42.98 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.041 | $0.08 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.977 | $17.59 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?No | sell | 12 | $0.965 | $11.58 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?No | sell | 7 | $0.950 | $6.65 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?No | buy | 7 | $0.961 | $6.73 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.042 | $0.55 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.042 | $2.06 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.022 | $0.86 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?No | buy | 12 | $0.990 | $11.88 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.042 | $0.8 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.022 | $0.44 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 19 | $0.927 | $17.61 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 19 | $0.925 | $17.58 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 13 | $0.990 | $12.87 | Jul 10, 2025 |